Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001733 0.001847 0.001965 0.002096 0.002238 0.002388 0.002557
2025-01-19 0.001553 0.001712 0.001883 0.002082 0.002308 0.002556 0.002851
2025-01-26 0.001385 0.001564 0.001763 0.002002 0.002281 0.002600 0.002993
2025-02-02 0.001331 0.001535 0.001768 0.002055 0.002401 0.002808 0.003328
2025-02-09 0.001278 0.001501 0.001761 0.002088 0.002495 0.002986 0.003631
2025-02-16 0.001262 0.001506 0.001798 0.002174 0.002652 0.003246 0.004050
2025-02-23 0.001206 0.001460 0.001768 0.002173 0.002698 0.003364 0.004290
2025-03-02 0.001129 0.001382 0.001694 0.002110 0.002659 0.003369 0.004377
2025-03-09 0.001069 0.001323 0.001639 0.002068 0.002643 0.003402 0.004500
2025-03-16 0.001031 0.001289 0.001615 0.002064 0.002676 0.003498 0.004713
2025-03-23 0.000987 0.001247 0.001578 0.002039 0.002679 0.003552 0.004869
2025-03-30 0.000956 0.001218 0.001557 0.002035 0.002709 0.003643 0.005081
2025-04-06 0.000908 0.001168 0.001510 0.001999 0.002699 0.003688 0.005244
2025-04-13 0.000870 0.001131 0.001478 0.001983 0.002717 0.003776 0.005479
2025-04-20 0.000814 0.001067 0.001407 0.001907 0.002644 0.003724 0.005493
2025-04-27 0.000805 0.001067 0.001423 0.001956 0.002757 0.003956 0.005972
2025-05-04 0.000791 0.001059 0.001428 0.001988 0.002845 0.004154 0.006409
2025-05-11 0.000792 0.001073 0.001464 0.002069 0.003012 0.004485 0.007092
2025-05-18 0.000769 0.001050 0.001447 0.002068 0.003049 0.004610 0.007434
2025-05-25 0.000731 0.001005 0.001394 0.002008 0.002991 0.004576 0.007490
2025-06-01 0.000701 0.000969 0.001355 0.001969 0.002963 0.004589 0.007631
2025-06-08 0.000682 0.000950 0.001339 0.001965 0.002992 0.004699 0.007956
2025-06-15 0.000660 0.000924 0.001312 0.001942 0.002989 0.004752 0.008178